A Look back in history – years ending in a 6

Back in the 1920’s W.D. Gann used to sell his market forecasts for the year ahead for mega money of the day – what he did was very simple……

(more…)

The ONLY thing missing from this market cycle

PRICE DEFLATION

 

Months of price DEflation are the only thing missing from this 17 year market Time Cycle.

I’d fully expect at some point before December 2016 for a bout of pro-longed Price DEflation to occur and possible take us into the next UP market Time Cycle.

Once you understand the Inflationary and Deflationary cycles you can then work out what economic components go inside them.

Many commodity markets are depressed – these are typically what feeds through into the general economy by way of forcing price of items up or down.

Those commodities have Time Cycles of there own – I’ve not looked at them as I’m not interested in those markets, but I’d bet that they’ve topped out and are sinking in price and bottoming around the same time as the stock market market time cycle is drawing to an end = recipe for price Deflation

If this is of Interest to you then I would encourage you to look at the period 1982-2000 the USA markets/economy are fine and look to see what the stock markets did / price Inflation / Credit Inflation / employment / Interest Rates / QE (there was none) / etc etc

Were the stock market crashes pro-longed or quickly recovered?

1987 was a key Time Cycle date – it was the 5 year growth time cycle (1982-1987) that occurs during all 17 yr cycles, the fall was a major event, but it was quickly recovered because the overall 17 yr market cycle was UP.

Capture

There is an Illusion that governments like you to think happens – that they can control the economy, they can’t – it’s the fact that the market Time Cycle in force dictates economic activity, the Illusion comes with the UP periods exceeding the DOWN periods as even during a 17 yr Down period you still have periods of 5 years of bullish markets.

If a government and it’s Central Bank could control an economy then they would ALWAYS achieve the perfect “Goldilocks” economic factors that would keep an economy in perfect harmony with no stock market panics – it simply cannot be done, never, ever.

Japan is a prime example – or are we to believe that the Japanese are an inferior race who are stupid and those trying to run the economy are either stupid or incompetent?  Of course not, they are intelligent people , trying everything to stimulate the economy and get the stock market firing again – It’s the Deflationary Depression they are in that is making them look silly.

10 Months to go

Countdown:

10 Months to go EXACTLY

until the current BEARISH Time Cycle ENDS and the next UP/Inflationary 17 Year Time Cycle

BEGINS

The NEXT MAJOR BEARISH market section in 17 years time[2034]

There’s loads of Cycles dates in the next UP phase and those have been previously published on the pages on here and onto blog posts too – please take your time to familiarise yourself with them.

This next UP cycle is as the name suggests UP – refer to a chart of 1982-2000 for an approx view of what it should look like – in essence it will be UP!

So what about the NEXT DOWN cycle then?

Well I’m going to publish what to look for 17-34 years PRIOR – keep a reference of this page to see if its correct or not – it’s not extensive – I’ve published on other posts other KEY dates to watch as well.

Some of the following dates will NOT work out – they’ll fail or not appear – this happens in all the previous sections going back a hundred+ years, its just something that you have to accept, however, many will work!

The market of choice at the moment is the NASDAQ – it’s where all the fever money has gone into of late, prior to the 1990’s it was the DJIA – you need to use charts for the market of the time.- why? Because you need to watch the market where man/woman are placing most of their speculative money, this market will react well to Time Cycles and show you the panic and greed of mankind all reflected in a handy chart of actual market prices recorded and displayed for all to see.

Here’s a table of Timings:

Box 1                 Box 2                 Box 3                 Box 4

09/02/1966        14/05/1969         07/10/1974         18/06/1982   – Chart 1 (1966-1983)

14/01/2000        10/10/2002         11/10/2007         21/10/2015   – Chart 2 (2000-2017)

05/07/2032        04/05/2035         26/02/2041         21/12/2050   – Projected from Chart 2 DATES

23/09/2032        22/06/2035         06/04/2041         25/01/2051   – Projected from Chart 1 DATES
(more…)